發刊日期/Published Date |
2001年9月
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中英文篇名/Title | 金融中介,利息稅政策與經濟成長 Financial Intermediation, Interest Tax Policy and Economic Growth |
論文屬性/Type | 研究論文 Research Article |
作者/Author | |
頁碼/Pagination | 383-400 |
摘要/Abstract | 本文建立一個有金融中介的累代 (overlapping generations, OG) 模型,模型中有消費者、廠商、金融、政府等四個經濟活動部門,以探討利息所得稅政策在經濟體系所扮演的角色。模型中的每個人假定只活兩期,每個人在年輕時工作,在年老時消費。每人皆關心下一代,因此會增加對下一代的教育投資,以提高下一代年輕人的人力資本水準。我們的主要發現如下。一、利息所得免稅額的提高,會增加存放款利率,增加人力資本投資,但減少實質資本相對於人力資本的比例,因而對經濟成長率的效果不確定。二、利息稅稅率降低,對存放款利率和實質相對人力資本比重的效果,與提高免稅額的效果相同。但由於對人力資本投資有減低的直接效果和增加的間接效果,因而不確定。由於實質資本相對於人力資本減少,因此這個政策可能減少經濟成長率,也可能不確定。 This paper develops an overlapping generations model within an active financial sector to differentiate loan from deposit rates. We evaluate the macroeconomic consequences of two interest tax policies, an increase in the interest tax exemption, and a reduction in the interest income tax rate. Both interest tax policies tend to increase the deposit and loan rates and lower the ratio of physical capital to human capital. The growth effect of both policies is ambiguous due to the negative direct effect and positive indirect effect on the accumulation of human capital. |
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