2011年9月

【研究論文】兩岸和平談判的政治困難與另案芻議
【Research Papers】Difficulties in the Negotiations of the Cross-Strait Peace Agreement and Possible Alternatives

張顯超
Hsien-Chao Chang

39-

國立中山大學中國與亞太區域研究所副教授
「胡六點」提出了兩岸結束敵對狀態與進行和平談判要求。對台灣而言，當前雙方對於國家主權認知與談判對價差距甚大，且民主化以後的台灣，很難接受一個從屬於中國「一國兩制」的非主權國家身分。北京方面的談判思維，就是意圖逐漸以政治與法律約束力，框住台灣必須朝向與中國大陸進行國家統合的政治發展，達到所謂兩岸關係「不可逆轉的趨勢」（making the positive changes irreversible）。儘管如此，兩岸有關和平協議的政治談判，必須將主權放在國際政治、國際法與憲法的具體內涵中加以討論，對台灣才會有實質意義。面對即將到來的兩岸政治談判難局，中國福建與台灣在「海西經濟區」的合作試驗之路，或是一條在雙方可以接受範圍之下，進行兩岸初階經濟與社會模式磨合的可行替代途徑。

關鍵詞：和平協議、兩岸關係、政治整合、一個中國
Associate Professor, Graduate Institute of China and Asia-Pacific Studies, National Sun Yat-sen University
The PRC president Hu Jintao’s “Six-Points” Proposition to Taiwan stipulates the terms for terminating cross-Strait hostilities and entering into negotiations. From Taiwan’s perspective, the present bilateral interpretation and understanding of national sovereignty and negotiation expectations are irreconcilable. Importantly, a democratized Taiwan is not likely to accept the Chinese-dictated non-sovereign status under “One Country, Two Systems” model. Accordingly, Beijing’s negotiation strategy is premised on systemically restraining Taiwan politically and legally, thereby constraining Taiwan to the point at which Taiwan has no other option than to be integrated with China. Such political development would invariably reach a tipping point in which for the Chinese side the making of the positive changes in cross-Strait relations is irreversible. Nevertheless, it is not meaningful to Taiwan if the negotiations on cross-Strait peace agreement cannot be conducted in the frameworks of international politics, international law and constitution. In resolving foreseeable gridlock in cross-Strait political negotiations, the experimentation of cooperation between Chinese Fujian Province and Taiwan in a “Haixi economic zone” maybe is an alternative for both sides to engage in initial economic and social interactions.

Key words: Peace agreement, cross-Strait relations, political integration, one China

【This paper is written in Chinese. Read the Chinese Abstract.】