2017年6月

FTA下的國家異質度與在地市場效果：兼論AEC
Country Heterogeneity and Home-Market Effects under FTA: With Special Reference to AEC

研究論文 Research Paper

黃幼宜, 黃登興, 蔡青龍
Yo-Yi Huang, Deng-Shing Huang, and Ching-Lung Tsay

1-21

傳統的在地市場效果，較大的國家其具大規模經濟產業，貿易上會因在地市場優勢而得到比國家規模更大的市占率。由經濟共同體組成大市場，是否能發揮此作用？東協透過共同市場整合，形成 6.23億人口以及2.48兆美元國內生產毛額的大經濟體（AEC）。本文利用PQML引力模型，測度共同市場與一般國家在地市場效果之有效度。根據不同產業，東協的在地市場效果並不顯著，不若單一國家，如中國。從國家異質度和會員國家間因貿易或要素移動等無法觀察的障礙，可解釋東協不同的HME和貿易創造現象。

By the conventional home-market effects (HME), a big economy with the advantage of big domestic market size tends to have more than a proportional share in the world export markets. Through its common market integration, ASEAN as a whole forms a large economy with a population of more than 623 million and GDP of 2.48 trillion US dollars. To test the effectiveness of the HME for an integrated economy like ASEAN, the conventional gravity approach is adopted. Unlike the HME for a one-state economy like China, ASEAN’s HME may not be significant, depending on the type of industries. Country heterogeneity and unobserved barriers in trade and factor flows among the member countries may explain the phenomenon of diversified HME and trade creation for ASEAN.

在地市場效果, 區域經濟整合, 卜瓦松準最大概似估計
Home-market Effect, Region Economic Integration, PQML