1995年3月

整合環境－經濟多目標規劃模型之研究：臺灣實證分析
An Integrated Environmental-Economic Multi-Objective Programming Model for Taiwan

研究論文 Research Article

楊浩彥, 王塗發
Hao-yen Yang, To-far Wang

27-63

本文試圖建立一個環境-經濟整合模型，來探討環境與經濟的整合問題。我們利用多目標規劃與狀況分析法，來模擬整合規劃對產業生產、就業與資源配置的影響效果。根據 1986 年臺灣現況資料所做的實證結果，我們發現，在多目標的發展策咯下，只要犧牲小幅度的所得與就業量，就可使能源使用與污染排放獲得大幅度的改善。同時，在多目標的發展策略下，不同職業別的勞動力需求，將因不同目標的變化而受到不同的影響。

This paper attempts to construct a planning model which com­bines environment and economic sub-systems as an integrated program­ming model. The multi-objective programming approach and simulation technique are applied to investigate the integrated planning effect on industrial production, employment and resource allocation. Empirical results based on Taiwan's data in 1986 indicate that in a multi-objective programming framework, energy consumption and pollution generation can be reduced to a great extent such that the environmental quality is greatly improved at the expense of only a small reduction in income and employment. Meanwhile, changes in various objectives will generate different impacts on labor demand for different occupations.

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